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Artificial Intelligence: The Fourth Industrial Revolution?

Artificial intelligence — is it being over-hyped? Or could it really have profound economic and societal implications?

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August Monthly Update

Epic dis-inflation. That is the short answer regarding what has been driving markets since last October.

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2nd Quarter 2023 Commentary

As we approach the halfway point in 2023, investors will find global equity and bond markets considerably improved from January 1st, although still well below peaks reached in 2021...

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June Monthly Update

An underappreciated characteristic of Nobel prize-winning monetary economist Milton Freidman was that he could turn a phrase. In fact, he wrote a well-read column in Newsweek for years. Freidman is said to have likened central bankers to fools in the shower...

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May Monthly Update

Domestic equities largely consolidated and continued to trade within a relatively tight range throughout the month of April. Using the S&P 500 Index as context, the current equity trading range is...

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The Fed is Starting to Break Banks

There is an expression on Wall Street that the “Fed raises rates until something breaks.” Well, something broke in March: Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank failed, and a host of regional banks came under stress...

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March Monthly Update

Last month we highlighted the strong relationship between calmer yields and better risk returns. That dynamic held in place from late October until approximately three weeks ago. Since that point, markets have been rattled...

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February Monthly Update

Stocks and bonds have begun 2023 on a high note. As we discussed at length in our 2023 Market Outlook, these two asset classes are much more highly correlated in a higher inflation dynamic, something we have not seen for decades.

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2023 Market Outlook

2022 resulted in one of the more difficult investment environments in recent decades. One in which both stocks and bonds suffered significant losses...

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November Monthly Update

In previous commentaries, we have focused on the number one tactical driver of markets, liquidity. Commonly, this is summarized in the number one rule for market guidance— “Don’t fight the Fed”. The bear market continues to hold...